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US Housing Market: Divided Between Gains and Losses

  //house-home.news-articles.net/content/2026/01/1 .. ing-market-divided-between-gains-and-losses.html
  Published in House and Home on Friday, January 16th 2026 at 13:15 GMT by Fox Business

A Nation Divided: Rising and Falling Markets

The latest figures show that approximately 26.4% of U.S. cities are seeing year-over-year home price increases, a stark contrast to the 33.6% experiencing price declines. A significant 40% of cities are reporting flat home prices. This fragmented market is a direct result of the shifting economic landscape, specifically reacting to the volatility of mortgage rates and a growing affordability crisis.

As Redfin's Chief Economist, Daryl Fairweather, aptly noted, "The housing market isn't crashing, but it's no longer the seller's market it was in the spring of 2022." This assessment is borne out by the diverging trends observed across the nation.

Bright Spots: Cities Where Home Prices Are Increasing

Despite the overall cooling trend, certain cities remain attractive to buyers and investors, driving up prices. Leading the way are:

• Nashville, Tennessee (+16.9%): Nashville's continued popularity, fueled by strong job growth, a vibrant cultural scene, and relative affordability compared to other major metropolitan areas, continues to buoy the housing market.
• Raleigh, North Carolina (+11.6%): The Research Triangle area's strong tech sector and attractive quality of life are attracting new residents, pushing up demand and prices.
• Virginia Beach, Virginia (+10.1%): Coastal living, combined with a relatively stable economy, keeps Virginia Beach desirable.
• Jacksonville, Florida (+8.2%): Florida's overall population growth and favorable tax environment continue to contribute to Jacksonville's housing market strength.
• San Jose, California (+7.6%): While the Silicon Valley area has faced some headwinds, it continues to attract high-earning professionals and maintain a premium price point.

Challenges Remain: Cities Experiencing Price Declines

The other side of the coin reveals cities facing significant price corrections. The primary drivers behind these declines are rising mortgage rates and the diminished affordability they've created.

• Boise, Idaho (-22.9%): Boise experienced some of the most dramatic price increases during the boom years, making it particularly vulnerable to a correction.
• Austin, Texas (-17.6%): Austin's rapid growth and subsequent affordability struggles have led to price adjustments.
• Phoenix, Arizona (-16.7%): Similar to Boise, Phoenix's explosive growth and subsequent challenges with affordability have contributed to the price decline.
• Denver, Colorado (-15.4%): Denver's attractiveness remains, but high prices and interest rates are impacting buyer sentiment.
• Seattle, Washington (-14.3%): Seattle's tech-driven economy has faced some restructuring, affecting the housing market.

The Buyer's Hesitation and Future Outlook

The broader trend underscores a key factor influencing the housing market: buyer hesitation. Potential homebuyers are understandably cautious, grappling with fluctuating mortgage rates and uncertain economic conditions. As Daryl Fairweather points out, "A lot of buyers are hesitant to move right now...they're worried about their mortgage rates, and they're worried about buying a home when they don't know where interest rates are headed."

Looking ahead to 2026, economists predict a continued period of market stabilization. While a complete housing market crash remains unlikely, the days of runaway price appreciation are over. The ability of buyers to secure affordable mortgages and the overall health of the economy will be crucial determinants of future housing market performance. Regional differences will likely persist, with markets like Nashville and Raleigh continuing to demonstrate resilience while others grapple with corrections. Potential homeowners should carefully analyze local market conditions and consider their long-term financial goals before making any decisions. The era of one-size-fits-all housing advice is over; a nuanced, city-by-city understanding is now essential.