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Wilson County Housing Market Poised for Moderate Growth in 2025

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  Published in House and Home on Thursday, January 8th 2026 at 14:19 GMT by Tennessean

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Lebanon, TN - January 8th, 2026 - Wilson County's housing market is poised for continued, albeit moderate, growth in 2025, according to a recent report from Greater Nashville Realtors. The report projects 2,500 home closings for the year, with a median sales price expected to climb to $425,000. While not experiencing the explosive growth seen during the peak of the pandemic-era housing boom, Wilson County continues to demonstrate resilience and remains a popular choice for homebuyers seeking a balance of affordability and proximity to Nashville.

Recent years have painted a clear picture of a dynamic market. In 2023, Wilson County saw a robust 2,748 home closings, with the median sales price landing at $384,900. 2024 experienced a slight dip, with 2,384 closings and a median price of $405,000. This cooling-off period, analysts suggest, is a natural correction following the unprecedented demand of the previous years. The projected 2,500 closings for 2025 represent a recovery and stabilization, indicating a healthy, sustainable growth trajectory.

City-by-City Breakdown Reveals Key Trends

The Greater Nashville Realtors report also provided a detailed look at sales within Wilson County's key cities. Mt. Juliet continues to be the dominant force in the market, recording 1,228 closings in 2024, with a median sales price of $415,000. This figure underscores Mt. Juliet's attractiveness to homebuyers, likely driven by its expanding commercial development, schools, and convenient access to major transportation routes.

Lebanon follows as the second-largest market within the county, with 831 closings in 2024 and a median price of $400,000. While lower in volume than Mt. Juliet, Lebanon's historic charm and growing community appeal continue to draw buyers. Watertown, the smallest of the three cities analyzed, reported 143 closings in 2024, with a median price of $350,000. Watertown offers a more rural lifestyle and presents a more affordable entry point to the Wilson County housing market.

Affordability and Proximity Drive Demand

Experts attribute Wilson County's continued success to its compelling combination of affordability and accessibility. Compared to the increasingly expensive housing market in Davidson County (Nashville), Wilson County offers a significantly more attainable option for many families and individuals. This price difference, coupled with Wilson County's relatively short commute to Nashville, makes it an attractive alternative for those working in the city but seeking a more spacious and affordable living environment.

"Wilson County offers a sweet spot for many Nashville-area residents," explains local realtor Sarah Miller. "They get the benefit of being close to the city's amenities and job market, without paying the premium associated with living directly in Nashville. We're seeing a lot of families and young professionals choosing Wilson County for that reason."

Looking Ahead: Factors to Watch

While the 2025 projections appear optimistic, several factors could influence the Wilson County housing market. Interest rate fluctuations remain a key concern. Further increases could dampen buyer enthusiasm and slow sales, while decreases could stimulate demand. Economic conditions, both locally and nationally, will also play a crucial role. Job growth and overall economic stability are essential for sustaining a healthy housing market.

Additionally, new construction activity will be a significant factor. The availability of new homes, particularly in the more affordable price ranges, could impact both sales volume and median prices. Monitoring building permit data and tracking the completion of new developments will be vital for understanding the market's future direction. The ongoing development of infrastructure within Wilson County, like road improvements and expanded public services, will further enhance its appeal to potential residents and contribute to the long-term health of the housing market.