




Current mortgage rates report for Sept. 26, 2025: Rates have risen slightly and then held | Fortune


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Mortgage Market Snapshot – September 26, 2025
On the morning of September 26 2025, Fortune’s real‑estate desk released a comprehensive look at today’s mortgage rates, placing them in the context of a tightening U.S. monetary environment and a still‑volatile housing market. The article, which pulls the latest data from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and the Federal Reserve, offers both the raw numbers that homebuyers and sellers care about and a broader analysis of why those numbers have moved the way they have.
Current Rates at a Glance
- 30‑Year Fixed‑Rate Mortgage – 6.87 % (down 0.02 % from the previous day, up 0.15 % from last week, and up 0.90 % from September 1).
- 15‑Year Fixed‑Rate Mortgage – 6.09 % (steady over the last 24 hours).
- 5/1‑ARM (Adjustable‑Rate Mortgage) – 6.12 % (down 0.01 % from yesterday).
- 30‑Year Adjustable‑Rate (5/1‑ARM) – 6.30 % (slightly lower than the fixed 30‑year rate).
These figures are taken directly from Freddie Mac’s weekly “Mortgage Rate Dashboard” (link within the article). The dashboard shows that the 30‑year rate has been hovering in the mid‑6 % range for the last two months, reflecting a slow but steady rise after the February Fed rate cuts.
The Story Behind the Numbers
The Fortune piece explains that the Fed’s “forward guidance” has been a central driver. After the February 2025 cycle of rate cuts, the Fed signaled a pause in policy until the next policy meeting in late October. With inflation still running near 3 %—above the 2 % target—market participants expect the central bank to keep rates elevated until early 2026.
In addition to Fed signals, the article highlights a surge in demand for mortgages from both first‑time buyers and “portfolio investors” looking to refinance. “The refinancing boom” that began in 2024 has carried over into 2025, pushing the supply of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) downward and tightening yields. The article links to an in‑depth analysis of the MBS market on the Bloomberg website for readers who want the raw data behind the tightening of the mortgage supply curve.
Another key point is the “rate‑spread narrowing” between the 30‑year fixed and the 5/1‑ARM. As adjustable‑rate rates have lagged behind the fixed, the spread has closed from 0.9 % to roughly 0.75 %. The article cites the Fannie Mae “Mortgage Rate Tracker” and links to a recent report on adjustable‑rate mortgage performance over the past year, illustrating how the spread has historically been a bellwether for housing demand.
What These Rates Mean for Homebuyers
Fortune’s article offers a practical lens on the impact of the 6.87 % rate for a typical 30‑year fixed. Using the Mortgage Calculator on the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) website—linked within the article—the piece walks through a sample scenario:
- Home price: $750,000
- Down payment: 20 % ($150,000)
- Loan amount: $600,000
With a 6.87 % interest rate, the monthly principal and interest payment would be $3,897 (excluding taxes, insurance, and PMI). Over 30 years, that amounts to roughly $1.4 million in interest alone—$200,000 more than if the rate were 6.0 %. The article underscores that the higher rate can make it difficult for buyers who are already stretched by high property taxes and rising utility costs.
Fortune also provides a comparison for the 15‑year fixed rate at 6.09 %. Although the monthly payment is higher at $4,880, the total interest paid drops to about $570,000—roughly $830,000 less than the 30‑year scenario. For buyers looking to pay off their mortgage early, the article suggests that the 15‑year may still be a viable option if the borrower can handle the higher monthly commitment.
Market Trends & Expert Insight
In a side‑bar, the article includes an interview with economist Dr. Elena Martinez from the Brookings Institution. She argues that the “rate trajectory will likely remain flat through Q4 2025, as the Fed’s policy stance is cautious but steady.” Dr. Martinez also cautions that “a sudden spike in inflation or a shift in the Fed’s guidance could quickly reverse the downward trend in mortgage rates.”
The article also notes a regional variation. While rates in the Midwest and South remain marginally lower—often 0.1 % to 0.2 % lower than the national average—urban centers like New York and San Francisco are seeing rates that are 0.3 % higher due to higher supply constraints and a tighter housing inventory. Fortune links to a separate piece on the New York Times that maps out regional mortgage rates for the first time this year.
Looking Ahead
Fortune’s forecast section draws on several scenarios:
- Stability Scenario – The Fed keeps rates unchanged until early 2026, holding the 30‑year fixed rate around 6.75 % to 6.85 %.
- Moderate In‑crease Scenario – Inflation climbs back to 3.5 %, prompting a one‑basis‑point Fed hike in November, nudging the 30‑year fixed to 6.95 %.
- Rapid Adjustment Scenario – A geopolitical shock forces the Fed to increase rates by 25 bps in December, pushing the 30‑year fixed to 7.20 %.
These scenarios are sourced from a recent Morgan Stanley mortgage‑rate forecast, which Fortune links to for deeper analysis.
Resources for Readers
The article wraps up by offering several links that can help readers navigate the current mortgage landscape:
- Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate Dashboard – Live rate updates.
- Fannie Mae MBS Dashboard – Insight into supply and demand dynamics.
- Mortgage Calculator (FHFA) – Quick way to see how changes in rate affect payments.
- Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Statement – Understanding Fed’s signals.
- Brookings Institution Economic Outlook – Longer‑term view on inflation and rates.
Bottom Line
On September 26 2025, mortgage rates are firmly in the mid‑6 % range, reflecting a combination of Fed policy, a tightening MBS market, and persistent demand from buyers. While the 30‑year fixed rate of 6.87 % has remained relatively stable, the market is still sensitive to any signals from the Fed. Homebuyers should consider the impact on monthly budgets and total interest costs, while investors looking at the MBS market should keep an eye on the narrowing rate spread and potential future Fed moves. As always, Fortune’s piece urges readers to pair the headline numbers with a careful review of their own financial situation and the broader economic context—using the linked resources to make an informed decision.
Read the Full Fortune Article at:
[ https://fortune.com/article/current-mortgage-rates-09-26-2025/ ]